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British wholesale gas prices have reached a more than two-year high, risking yet more expensive energy bills.

Low rates of gas storage in Britain and across Europe, combined with cold weather, have increased demand for gas to heat homes.

It’s brought the price up to 140 pence a therm (a unit of heat used to measure gas), a high not seen since January 2023.

Higher gas prices can bring up household bills as electricity costs are linked to wholesale costs.

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Britain is reliant on European gas imports and has less storage capacity than its neighbours.

Last month, the owner of Britain’s largest gas storage site said levels in the country were “concerningly low”.

European storage levels have been depleted by cold weather and are now at approximately 50% capacity, well below the roughly 70% level recorded this time last year.

Gas is bought during cheaper periods, including when demand is lower in the summer, and then stored for use during times of high demand.

Britain is still reliant on the fossil fuel to generate electricity and heat homes and so is vulnerable to volatile prices.

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Gas and electricity bills became even more expensive in January

Global trade tensions have stoked fears of more supply shocks. On Monday, China slapped a 15% tariff on US gas in response to Donald Trump’s tax on Chinese imports.

Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine three years ago gas costs have increased as Europe sought to limit its use of Russian supplies. Russia, however, remains a key source of gas for the continent.

Already expensive bills

Energy bills have already been going up. At the start of last month, energy regulator Ofgem brought up the energy price cap, which limits the unit cost of energy, amid forecasts of a further rise in April.

The energy price cap is revised every three months. A final decision on the cap for April, May and June will be made on 25 February.

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Trump imposes 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports

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Trump imposes 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports

Donald Trump has signed two proclamations imposing 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports to the US.

A proclamation is a form of presidential directive to government officials, but they do not carry the force of law, as an executive order would.

However the White House has said the tariffs will take effect from 4 March.

“This is a big deal,” Mr Trump said in the Oval Office as he announced the tariffs. “The beginning of making America rich again.”

He added: “We were being pummelled by both friend and foe alike.”

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President Donald Trump speaks with reporters as he signs executive orders in the Oval Office at the White House. Pic: PA
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‘We were being pummelled by both friend and foe alike,’ said the US president

The proclamations mean the president has now removed the exceptions and exemptions from his 2018 tariffs on steel to allow for all imports of the metal to be taxed at 25%.

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The new tariff on aluminium is also much higher than the 10% duty he imposed on the material in his first term.

The tariffs are part of an aggressive push by Mr Trump to reset global trade, as he claims that price hikes on the people and companies buying foreign-made products will ultimately strengthen domestic manufacturing.

Outside economic analyses suggest the tariffs would increase costs for the factories that use steel and aluminium, possibly leaving US manufacturers worse off.

Canada, the largest source of steel imports to the US, criticised the move.

Candace Laing, CEO of the Canadian Chamber of Commerce, said Mr Trump was destabilising the global economy.

“Today’s news makes it clear that perpetual uncertainty is here to stay,” she said.

Hard to see how tariffs won’t be inflationary



Ed Conway

Economics and data editor

@EdConwaySky

At least part of the idea behind tariffs is to bring some production back to the US, but imposing them will have consequences.

What kinds of consequences? Well, at its simplest, tariffs push up prices. This is, when you think about it, blindingly obvious.

A tariff is a tax on a good entering the country.

So if aluminium and steel are going up in price then that means, all else equal, that the cost of making everything from aircraft wings to steel rivets also goes up.

That in turn means consumers end up paying the price – and if a company can’t make ends meet in the face of these tariffs, it means job losses – possibly within the very industrial sectors the president wants to protect.

So says the economic theory. But in practice, economics isn’t everything.

There are countless examples throughout history of countries defying economic logic in search of other goals.

Perhaps they want to improve their national self-reliance in a given product; perhaps they want to ensure certain jobs in cherished areas or industries are protected.

But nothing comes for free, and even if Donald Trump’s tariffs succeed in persuading domestic producers to smelt more aluminium or steel, such things don’t happen overnight.

In the short run, it’s hard to see how these tariffs wouldn’t be significantly inflationary.

Trump’s war of tariffs

Mr Trump’s proclamations come days after the US imposed a 10% tariff on all goods imported from China.

In return, China imposed 10% tariffs on American crude oil, agricultural machinery, large-displacement cars and pickup trucks.

There will also be 15% tariffs on coal and liquefied natural gas from the US.

US plans to impose 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada were paused after agreements were reached on border security.

Mexico’s president said she was sending 10,000 National Guard troops to the US border immediately in return for a tariff delay.

Mr Trump said the Mexican soldiers would be “specifically designated” to stop the flow of fentanyl into the US, as well as illegal migrants.

Meanwhile, Canada’s prime minister Justin Trudeau said almost 10,000 frontline personnel “are and will be working on protecting the border”.

He added that his country was appointing a “fentanyl czar”, drug cartels would be listed as terrorists, and there would be “24/7 eyes on the border”.

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Trump’s steel and aluminium tariffs target a deeper issue – but risk job losses and higher prices

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Trump's steel and aluminium tariffs target a deeper issue - but risk job losses and higher prices

Few materials matter quite as much as steel and aluminium.

Steel, an alloy of iron and carbon, is the main metallic ingredient in the structures we live in and the bridges we build. If it’s not made of steel it’s made with steel.

Aluminium, on the other hand, is a wonder material we use with wild abandon these days. A light metal we use in planes and trains, in the bodies of electric vehicles and in those high voltage power lines we’ll need so many of to provide electricity in the coming years.

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Prices to rise for planes, trains and automobiles

All of which is to say these metals are the bedrock for much of the world around us. And like most developed economies, the US is far from independent when it comes to these materials. The degree of dependence on other countries varies between them.

According to the US Geological Survey, America’s “net import reliance ratio” for aluminium is close to 50%, implying it is deeply dependent on imports to satisfy demand among its companies. The degree of dependence is considerably lower for steel – only a little over 10%.

At least part of the idea behind tariffs is to bring some production back to the US, but imposing them will have consequences.

Molten aluminium is poured on the day of the completion of a 330 million pound deal to buy Britain's last remaining Aluminium smelter in Fort William Lochaber Scotland, Britain December 19, 2016.
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Molten aluminium. Pic: Reuters

What kinds of consequences? Well, at its simplest, tariffs push up prices. This is, when you think about it, blindingly obvious. A tariff is a tax on a good entering the country. So if aluminium and steel are going up in price then that means, all else equal, that the cost of making everything from aircraft wings to steel rivets also goes up. That in turn means consumers end up paying the price – and if a company can’t make ends meet in the face of these tariffs, it means job losses – possibly within the very industrial sectors the president wants to protect.

Donald Trump stands on stage with steelworkers as he speaks at a campaign rally in Pennsylvania. Pic: AP
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Donald Trump stands on stage with steelworkers as he speaks at a campaign rally in Pennsylvania during the US election. Pic: AP

So says the economic theory. But in practice, economics isn’t everything. There are countless examples throughout history of countries defying economic logic in search of other goals. Perhaps they want to improve their national self-reliance in a given product; perhaps they want to ensure certain jobs in cherished areas or industries are protected. But nothing comes for free, and even if Donald Trump‘s tariffs succeed in persuading domestic producers to smelt more aluminium or steel, such things don’t happen overnight. In the short run, it’s hard to see how these tariffs wouldn’t be significantly inflationary.

Donald Trump spoke to reporters on Air Force One: Reuters
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Donald Trump on Air Force One: Reuters

There’s a deeper issue here, which comes back (as so many of Mr Trump’s economic measures do) to China. Both the steel and aluminium markets have faced enormous influxes of cheap Chinese metals in recent years – to the extent that in recent months those Chinese imports have actually been cheaper than the cost of production in Europe.

To some extent, that’s a consequence of high European energy costs, but it’s partly down to the fact that China subsidises its producers more than most other countries around the world. Indeed, of all the products in the world, few have had as many cases lodged at the World Trade Organisation as steel.

Read more:
Why China could benefit most from Trump’s tariffs
Tax hikes and financial gloom ‘acting as brakes’ on jobs

Donald Trump shakes hands with China's President Xi Jinping during a meeting on the sidelines of the G-20 summit in 2019. Pic: AP
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Donald Trump shakes hands with China’s President Xi Jinping in 2019 – as in his first term, many of his policies focus on China. Pic: AP

But while it’s worth being aware of these dynamics, which are pushing cheap steel into many markets, it’s also worth noting that the US actually imports far less from China than you might have thought. The vast majority of American aluminium imports, for instance, come from Canada rather than China. Any tariffs on the metal would further undermine the economic relationship between these parts of North America.

Much, of course, now depends on the structure and detail of these tariffs – and the extent to which they’re actually implemented. As with his threatened tariffs on Canada and Mexico, these ones raise as many questions as they answer. That is likely to be the way of things for much of this presidential term.

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Donald Trump says he will impose 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports into US

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Trump reiterates desire to make Canada 51st state - and says he will impose tariffs on steel and aluminium imports

Donald Trump says he will impose 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports into the US, including from Canada and Mexico.

The president said he would make the announcement on Monday, signalling yet another major escalation in his trade policy overhaul.

Speaking on Air Force One as he flew from Florida to New Orleans for the Super Bowl, he said the new levies would be on top of existing metals duties.

“Any steel coming into the United States is going to have a 25% tariff,” Mr Trump told reporters on Sunday.

When asked about aluminium, he responded, “aluminium, too” will be subject to the trade penalties.

Share prices in steelmakers in Asia were mostly down on Monday, apart from those with operations in the US.

What does Trump’s steel tariff mean for the UK?

At the moment UK exporters of steel and aluminium, are able to export tariff-free to the US up to specified volumes.

For steel, up to 500,000 metric tonnes can be exported to the US per year duty-free.

For aluminium, up to 21,600 metric tonnes can be exported to the US per year duty-free.

In 2023, the UK exported 160,000 metric tonnes of steel to the US, according to UK Steel.

Trump has imposed steel tariffs before. In 2018, during his first term, he introduced tariffs of 25% and 10% respectively on certain imports of steel and aluminium to the US.

However, these were replaced with a tariff rate quota (TRQ) for the UK in 2022, allowing for duty free export.

It’s not clear yet if President Trump will allow for any exemptions but his language on Air Force One last night suggested not.

Mr Trump also said he will announce reciprocal tariffs on Tuesday or Wednesday, to take effect almost immediately, applying them to all countries and matching the tariff rates levied by each nation.

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“And very simply, it’s, if they charge us, we charge them,” Mr Trump said of the reciprocal tariff plan.

Australia seeks tariff exemption

Meanwhile, Canberra is pressing Washington for an exemption to the planned tariffs, with Australia’s trade minister Don Farrell saying its steel and aluminium to the US create “thousands of good-paying American jobs” and are key to shared defence interests.

Mr Farrell said his country was making the case for “free and fair trade, including access into the US market for Australian steel and aluminium” during meetings with the Trump administration.

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Mr Trump previously threatened 25% import taxes on all goods from Canada and Mexico, though he paused them for 30 days last week. At the same time, he proceeded to add 10% duties on imports from China.

Also last week, Mr Trump said tariffs on the European Union would be implemented “pretty soon”. When questioned about the UK, the president said Britain was “out of line” when it came to trade but he thought the situation could be “worked out” without the use of tariffs.

His latest comments on the presidential plane came just after German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said the EU was ready to respond “within an hour” if the US levied tariffs on European goods, highlighting the risks of an escalating trade war.

China’s retaliatory tariffs on some US exports are due to take effect on Monday, with no sign yet of progress between Beijing and Washington.

Donald Trump signed a Proclamation declaring 9 February 2025 as the 'Gulf of America Day'. Pic: Reuters
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Mr Trump signed a proclamation declaring 9 February 2025 as the ‘Gulf of America Day’. Pic: Reuters

‘Gulf of America Day’

Also on board Air Force One, Mr Trump signed a proclamation declaring 9 February 2025 as the first-ever “Gulf of America Day”.

One of the first executive orders the president signed was renaming the Gulf of Mexico.

While signing the latest proclamation, he posed in front of a map with the newly changed name.

Trump reiterates desire to make Canada 51st state

In a separate interview earlier on Fox News, Mr Trump repeated calls to make Canada “the 51st state” as he reiterated his support for tech billionaire Elon Musk.

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Trump reiterates call for Canada to be the 51st state

When asked if he was serious about Canada being a 51st state, Mr Trump said: “I think Canada would be much better off.

“We lose $200bn a year with Canada. And I’m not going to let that happen. It’s too much.

“Why are we paying $200bn a year essentially in subsidy to Canada? Now, if they are a 51st state, I don’t mind doing it.”

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Trump signs ‘Gulf of America Day’ order

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Donald Trump walks with Elon Musk before attending a viewing of the launch of the sixth test flight of the SpaceX Starship rocket, in Brownsville, Texas, U.S., November 19, 2024 . Brandon Bell/Pool via REUTERS TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY
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Mr Trump has said he trusts the work Elon Musk is doing in improving government efficiency

He also continued to voice support for Mr Musk. The X owner is spearheading the US president’s efforts to cut costs and bureaucracy in government, which has already seen the US Aid Agency for International Development targeted.

Named the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), its aim is to find ways to sack federal workers, cut programmes and cut federal regulations.

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